Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Green Wave MEM @ TULN

MEMPHIS

TIGERSMEM

12-18  |  Road

96
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 2:00 PM ET
Devlin Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

17-13  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
GREEN WAVE
100%
TIGERS --
GREEN WAVE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Memphis)
TigersMEM (-3.5) 0 Green WaveTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

75.8%

Green Wave Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

MEM By 1-7 points

26.2%

MEM By 8-14 points

25.3%

TULN By 1-7 points

15.3%

TULN By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
75
MEMPHIS
68
TULANE
Simulated Score
70
MEMPHIS
82
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Green Wave Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Green Wave (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 TULN @ MEM 81 - 69
Mar 8, 2026 MEM @ TULN 96 - 95
Feb 1, 2026 TULN @ MEM 78 - 76
Mar 15, 2025 TULN @ MEM 77 - 78
Jan 30, 2025 MEM @ TULN 68 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.9% more
Memphis: 33.3 vs Tulane: 29.0
Steals (L5) +8.0% more
Memphis: 5.9 vs Tulane: 5.4
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Memphis: 43.9% vs Tulane: 39.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MEM Score 75.0 96
TULN Score 68.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 29.0 35.0 / 37.0
Assists 13.8 / 13.3 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.8 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 43.9 49.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 73.7 78.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 29.0 / 33.3 32.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.9 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 10.8 8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
TULN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
TULN Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
MEM
TULN
MEM
ML
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
47% 15-17
68% 21-10
ATS
62% 20-12-1
62% 20-12
47% 15-17
68% 21-10
TTL
55% 18-15
66% 21-11
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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