Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Braves UNI @ BRAD

NORTHERN IOWA

PANTHERSUNI

21-12  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 6:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

21-11  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
BRAVES
100%
PANTHERS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Northern Iowa)
PanthersUNI (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

94.5%

Braves Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNI -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)

UNI By 1-7 points

13.7%

UNI By 8-14 points

24.3%

BRAD By 1-7 points

4.0%

BRAD By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
89
NORTHERN IOWA
73
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
68
NORTHERN IOWA
72
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o127.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u127.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 UNI @ BRAD 73 - 69
Feb 6, 2026 BRAD @ UNI 49 - 61
Jan 10, 2026 UNI @ BRAD 69 - 75
Mar 2, 2025 UNI @ BRAD 56 - 73
Feb 2, 2025 BRAD @ UNI 69 - 83
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.6%
Northern Iowa: 37.0% vs Bradley: 29.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Northern Iowa: 48.3% vs Bradley: 45.7%
Steals (L5) +45.4% more
Bradley: 8.3 vs Northern Iowa: 5.7
Blocks (L5) +20.4% more
Bradley: 3.8 vs Northern Iowa: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNI Score 89.0 73
BRAD Score 73.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 37.0 38.0 / 67.0
Assists 16.3 / 16.6 15.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.1 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 48.3 43.0 / 66.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 72.1 83.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 32.9 22.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.3 / 5.7 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 8.6 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI Advantage
23-13-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
BRAD
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
UNI
BRAD
UNI
ML
65% 22-12
51% 18-17
68% 23-11
56% 19-15
ATS
59% 20-14
49% 17-18
68% 23-11
56% 19-15
TTL
68% 23-11
69% 24-11
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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