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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

30-22-9  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

29-23-9  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
@
Joey Daccord
GOALTENDER

Joey Daccord

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Linus Ullmark None-None 4.02 0.810 --
Joey Daccord None-None 7.00 0.811 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.02 Ldr GAA 7.00
0.810 Save % Ldr 0.811
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
📊
KRAKEN
0%
SENATORS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

30.9%

Kraken Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

OTT By 1 goal

12.1%

OTT By 2-3 goals

9.3%

SEA By 1 goal

19.7%

SEA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
OTTAWA
3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
2
OTTAWA
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kraken Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 OTT @ SEA 7 - 4
Oct 16, 2025 SEA @ OTT 3 - 4
Dec 17, 2024 OTT @ SEA 3 - 0
Nov 2, 2024 SEA @ OTT 0 - 3
Jan 4, 2024 OTT @ SEA 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.6% more
Ottawa: 28.0 vs Seattle: 24.4
Takeaways (L5) +12.5% more
Ottawa: 5.5 vs Seattle: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 2.0 7
SEA Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
73%MONEY27%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
OTT
SEA
OTT
ML
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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