ELON
PHOENIXELON
14-17 | Road
62
WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
19-11 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
TRIBE
0%
PHOENIX
--
TRIBE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (William & Mary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around W&M -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)
ELON By 1-7 points
12.2%
ELON By 8-14 points
4.0%
W&M By 1-7 points
24.3%
W&M By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
71
ELON
William & Mary
80
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
Elon
70
ELON
William & Mary
74
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tribe
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tribe
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
ELON @ W&M
62 - 72
Feb 14, 2026
ELON @ W&M
81 - 78
Jan 29, 2026
W&M @ ELON
76 - 79
Feb 22, 2025
W&M @ ELON
79 - 70
Jan 9, 2025
ELON @ W&M
65 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.9% more
William & Mary: 17.3
vs
Elon: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+31.2% more
William & Mary: 2.8
vs
Elon: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
William & Mary: 52.0%
vs
Elon: 37.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
William & Mary: 30.4%
vs
Elon: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
71.0
62
W&M Score
80.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 26.5
40.0 / 36.0
Assists
17.3 / 11.8
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.2
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 37.6
42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 79.3
71.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 31.4
32.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.3
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.8
11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
W&M
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
ELON
W&M
ELON
ML
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
71%
22-9
ATS
63%
19-11-1
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
71%
22-9
TTL
61%
19-12
52%
16-15
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Alabama's Keelon Russell Silences Doubters with Explosive Perfor…
Ex-Portland Wing Justin Minaya Poised for Barcelona Move
Seahawks Sign Former Lions First-Round Pick Amid Legal Turmoil
Spurs Add Former Pacers Guard on Exhibit 10: What It Means
Dillon Brooks Takes a Jab at LaMelo Ball's Unconventional Path t…