HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
13-18 | Road
68
TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
17-14 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
TIGERS
0%
PIRATES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
HAMP By 1-7 points
21.6%
HAMP By 8-14 points
10.7%
TOW By 1-7 points
27.2%
TOW By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Hampton
81
HAMPTON
Towson
84
TOWSON
Simulated Score
Hampton
60
HAMPTON
Towson
72
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
HAMP @ TOW
68 - 74
Jan 31, 2026
HAMP @ TOW
50 - 82
Dec 31, 2025
TOW @ HAMP
62 - 63
Mar 1, 2025
HAMP @ TOW
72 - 75
Feb 17, 2024
TOW @ HAMP
61 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+268.1% more
Towson: 5.9
vs
Hampton: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+29.5% more
Towson: 39.0
vs
Hampton: 30.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Towson: 35.1%
vs
Hampton: 28.9%
Steals (L5)
+34.8% more
Hampton: 7.1
vs
Towson: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score
81.0
68
TOW Score
84.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 28.9
45.0 / 21.0
Assists
10.0 / 13.1
7.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.9 / 1.6
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 42.3
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 76.3
76.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 30.1
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.1
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 8.5
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
HAMP
TOW
HAMP
ML
66%
21-11
53%
17-15
62%
20-12
75%
24-8
ATS
66%
21-11
50%
16-16
62%
20-12
75%
24-8
TTL
53%
17-15
68%
21-10-1
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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