ORLANDO
MAGICORL
33-28 | Road
119
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
40-23 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
MAGIC
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
6.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.9%
MIN By 1-7 points
1.4%
MIN By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
122
ORLANDO
Minnesota
101
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Minnesota
106
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIN @ ORL
120 - 132
Mar 7, 2026
ORL @ MIN
119 - 92
Mar 14, 2025
ORL @ MIN
111 - 118
Jan 9, 2025
MIN @ ORL
104 - 89
Feb 2, 2024
ORL @ MIN
108 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.6% more
Orlando: 28.3
vs
Minnesota: 24.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.3%
Orlando: 82.0%
vs
Minnesota: 73.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+22.0% more
Minnesota: 15.1
vs
Orlando: 12.4
Steals (L5)
+20.5% more
Minnesota: 9.6
vs
Orlando: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
122.0
119
MIN Score
101.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 34.4
22.0 / 26.0
Assists
24.4 / 28.3
17.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.2
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 46.4
36.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 82.0
74.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 42.9
37.0 / 58.0
Steals
9.6 / 8.0
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 12.4
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ORL
MIN
ORL
ML
54%
63-53
61%
65-42
54%
50-43
56%
51-40
ATS
58%
67-49
64%
68-38-1
54%
50-43
56%
51-40
TTL
63%
72-43-1
57%
61-46
100%
93-0
100%
91-0
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