UTAH
JAZZUTAH
19-44 | Road
99
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
26-35 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
BUCKS
100%
JAZZ
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.4%
UTAH By 8-14 points
21.6%
MIL By 1-7 points
20.1%
MIL By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
117
UTAH
Milwaukee
113
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Utah
115
UTAH
Milwaukee
109
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MIL @ UTAH
96 - 128
Mar 7, 2026
UTAH @ MIL
99 - 113
Jan 27, 2025
MIL @ UTAH
125 - 110
Nov 7, 2024
UTAH @ MIL
100 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
MIL @ UTAH
108 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.0% more
Utah: 4.5
vs
Milwaukee: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+30.7% more
Utah: 10.8
vs
Milwaukee: 7.5
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Utah: 26.6
vs
Milwaukee: 24.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Utah: 80.0%
vs
Milwaukee: 73.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
117.0
99
MIL Score
113.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 35.7
34.0 / 24.0
Assists
24.2 / 26.6
33.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.5
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 46.2
48.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 80.0
57.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 41.4
48.0 / 53.0
Steals
7.5 / 10.8
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 12.8
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
UTAH
MIL
UTAH
ML
64%
61-35
60%
96-63
60%
49-32
48%
40-43
ATS
68%
65-31
68%
108-51
60%
49-32
48%
40-43
TTL
55%
53-43
75%
119-39-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Heat's Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo: Can Miami Make It …
Nuggets' Bench Sparks 117-106 Preseason Win Over Jazz, Led by Di…