CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
14-12 | Road
111
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
11-15 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
BIG GREEN
100%
BIG RED
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
COR By 1-7 points
25.3%
COR By 8-14 points
26.2%
DART By 1-7 points
13.7%
DART By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
75
CORNELL
Dartmouth
67
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Cornell
71
CORNELL
Dartmouth
68
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Big Red (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u165.0
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u165.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
COR @ DART
111 - 90
Jan 10, 2026
DART @ COR
102 - 91
Mar 15, 2025
DART @ COR
71 - 87
Feb 15, 2025
COR @ DART
49 - 88
Jan 31, 2025
DART @ COR
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+43.9% more
Cornell: 17.9
vs
Dartmouth: 10.0
Turnovers (L5)
+10.0% more
Cornell: 11.3
vs
Dartmouth: 10.2
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
Cornell: 33.6
vs
Dartmouth: 30.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Cornell: 46.2%
vs
Dartmouth: 39.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
75.0
111
DART Score
67.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 33.7
32.0 / 50.0
Assists
10.0 / 17.9
15.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.2 / 46.2
44.0 / 63.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 74.5
91.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 33.6
31.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.1
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 11.3
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
COR
DART
COR
ML
62%
16-10
44%
12-15
50%
13-13
63%
17-10
ATS
65%
17-9
59%
16-11
50%
13-13
63%
17-10
TTL
88%
23-3
78%
21-6
100%
26-0
100%
27-0
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