UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
20-10 | Road
89
USC
TROJANSUSC
18-12 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
TROJANS
100%
BRUINS
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCLA -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
UCLA By 1-7 points
6.8%
UCLA By 8-14 points
16.9%
USC By 1-7 points
1.4%
USC By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
86
UCLA
USC
65
USC
Simulated Score
UCLA
70
UCLA
USC
74
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UCLA @ USC
89 - 68
Feb 24, 2026
USC @ UCLA
62 - 81
Mar 8, 2025
USC @ UCLA
63 - 90
Jan 27, 2025
UCLA @ USC
82 - 76
Feb 24, 2024
USC @ UCLA
62 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+39.4% more
UCLA: 18.8
vs
USC: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
UCLA: 36.9%
vs
USC: 25.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
UCLA: 47.4%
vs
USC: 40.1%
Blocks (L5)
+252.6% more
USC: 5.4
vs
UCLA: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
86.0
89
USC Score
65.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.8 / 36.9
29.0 / 53.0
Assists
11.4 / 18.8
23.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.4 / 1.5
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 47.4
43.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 73.7
81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 32.0
26.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.1
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 7.1
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
USC
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
Advantage
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
UCLA
USC
UCLA
ML
52%
16-15
67%
24-12
58%
18-13
76%
25-8
ATS
68%
21-10
61%
22-14
58%
18-13
76%
25-8
TTL
68%
21-10
61%
22-14
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
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UCLA's Dominant Road Win Over Maryland: Four Interceptions and E…