JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
14-16 | Road
64
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
11-19 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
MINERS
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UTEP)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
JXST By 1-7 points
18.6%
JXST By 8-14 points
8.0%
UTEP By 1-7 points
27.2%
UTEP By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
75
JACKSONVILLE STATE
UTEP
80
UTEP
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
68
JACKSONVILLE STATE
UTEP
71
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Miners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Miners (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.0
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u139.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
JXST @ UTEP
64 - 61
Feb 11, 2026
UTEP @ JXST
69 - 64
Feb 22, 2025
UTEP @ JXST
65 - 73
Jan 23, 2025
JXST @ UTEP
73 - 66
Feb 29, 2024
UTEP @ JXST
72 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.2% more
UTEP: 7.1
vs
Jacksonville State: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+21.8% more
UTEP: 11.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 9.0
Blocks (L5)
+8.7% more
UTEP: 3.5
vs
Jacksonville State: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
UTEP: 72.4%
vs
Jacksonville State: 69.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
75.0
64
UTEP Score
80.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 35.9
28.0 / 44.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.9
8.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.2
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 43.1
42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 69.0
73.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 39.8
30.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.2
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 9.0
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
JXST
UTEP
JXST
ML
70%
21-9
50%
16-16
72%
21-8
55%
17-14
ATS
57%
17-13
62%
20-12
73%
22-8
55%
17-14
TTL
60%
18-12
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
