PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
9-19 | Road
53
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
22-5 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
TIGERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YALE +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
PRIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
PRIN By 8-14 points
23.0%
YALE By 1-7 points
18.6%
YALE By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
80
PRINCETON
Yale
75
YALE
Simulated Score
Princeton
71
PRINCETON
Yale
78
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PRIN @ YALE
53 - 78
Jan 10, 2026
YALE @ PRIN
60 - 76
Mar 15, 2025
PRIN @ YALE
57 - 59
Feb 15, 2025
PRIN @ YALE
57 - 84
Jan 31, 2025
YALE @ PRIN
77 - 70
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
Princeton: 44.1%
vs
Yale: 34.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.0%
Princeton: 80.2%
vs
Yale: 71.2%
Blocks (L5)
+229.8% more
Yale: 4.0
vs
Princeton: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+12.2% more
Yale: 5.4
vs
Princeton: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
80.0
53
YALE Score
75.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 44.1
29.0 / 25.0
Assists
14.3 / 13.7
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.0 / 1.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 48.1
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 80.2
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 32.1
39.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.4 / 4.8
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 11.5
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
PRIN
YALE
PRIN
ML
48%
15-16
45%
13-16
58%
18-13
62%
18-11
ATS
65%
20-11
48%
14-15
58%
18-13
62%
18-11
TTL
61%
19-12
72%
21-8
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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