Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Trailblazers UVU @ UTU

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

23-7  |  Road

104
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 9:00 PM ET
Burns Arena
View Odds Details →

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

18-13  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
📊
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
WOLVERINES --
TRAILBLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WolverinesUVU (-3.5) 0 TrailblazersUTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

46.0%

Trailblazers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

UVU By 1-7 points

26.2%

UVU By 8-14 points

16.9%

UTU By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
75
UTAH VALLEY
74
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
70
UTAH VALLEY
75
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trailblazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trailblazers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Trailblazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 UVU @ UTU 104 - 101
Feb 12, 2026 UVU @ UTU 77 - 81
Jan 10, 2026 UTU @ UVU 76 - 92
Mar 12, 2025 UTU @ UVU 57 - 74
Feb 20, 2025 UVU @ UTU 79 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +60.5% more
Utah Valley: 5.4 vs Utah Tech: 2.1
Steals (L5) +49.1% more
Utah Valley: 9.5 vs Utah Tech: 4.9
Assists (L5) +29.3% more
Utah Valley: 18.3 vs Utah Tech: 13.0
Rebounding (L5) +9.6% more
Utah Valley: 33.0 vs Utah Tech: 29.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVU Score 75.0 104
UTU Score 74.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.6 / 32.1 30.0 / 46.0
Assists 13.0 / 18.3 17.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.1 / 5.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 51.2 46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 66.9 75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 29.8 / 33.0 41.0 / 41.0
Steals 4.9 / 9.5 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 11.4 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
UTU
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
UVU
UTU
UVU
ML
68% 23-11
56% 18-14
62% 21-13
72% 23-9
ATS
65% 22-12
53% 17-15
62% 21-13
74% 25-9
TTL
65% 22-12
44% 14-18
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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