Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Cougars TTU @ BYU

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

22-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 10:30 PM ET
Marriott Center
View Odds Details →

BYU

COUGARSBYU

20-10  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
0%
📊
COUGARS
100%
RED RAIDERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Texas Tech)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 CougarsBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

93.3%

Cougars Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TTU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

TTU By 1-7 points

15.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

25.3%

BYU By 1-7 points

4.8%

BYU By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
79
TEXAS TECH
64
BYU
Simulated Score
74
TEXAS TECH
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Red Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Red Raiders (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 TTU @ BYU 76 - 82
Jan 17, 2026 BYU @ TTU 71 - 84
Jan 7, 2025 TTU @ BYU 72 - 67
Mar 14, 2024 BYU @ TTU 67 - 81
Jan 20, 2024 BYU @ TTU 78 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.2% more
Texas Tech: 5.0 vs BYU: 3.2
Assists (L5) +34.9% more
Texas Tech: 15.4 vs BYU: 10.1
Turnovers (L5) +8.2% more
Texas Tech: 13.2 vs BYU: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
Texas Tech: 40.3% vs BYU: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 79.0 76
BYU Score 64.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 40.3 23.0 / 46.0
Assists 10.1 / 15.4 9.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.2 / 5.0 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 49.7 44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 71.7 74.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 33.4 41.0 / 34.0
Steals 4.8 / 4.7 2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 13.2 3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
BYU
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
TTU
BYU
TTU
ML
60% 21-14
62% 21-13
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
ATS
54% 19-16
65% 22-12
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
TTL
69% 24-11
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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