STANFORD
CARDINALSTAN
19-11 | Road
85
NC STATE
WOLFPACKNCSU
19-11 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
0%
WOLFPACK
100%
CARDINAL
--
WOLFPACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCSU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)
STAN By 1-7 points
26.2%
STAN By 8-14 points
16.9%
NCSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
NCSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Stanford
62
STANFORD
NC State
61
NC STATE
Simulated Score
Stanford
72
STANFORD
NC State
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinal
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolfpack
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Wolfpack (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
STAN @ NCSU
85 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
NCSU @ STAN
73 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+14.9% more
Stanford: 8.4
vs
NC State: 7.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.9%
Stanford: 43.9%
vs
NC State: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Stanford: 49.8%
vs
NC State: 40.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Stanford: 76.3%
vs
NC State: 74.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STAN Score
62.0
85
NCSU Score
61.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 43.9
35.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.2 / 12.6
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 49.8
48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 76.3
74.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 30.3
33.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.6
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
7.1 / 8.4
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
NCSU
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
NCSU
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.9
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
STAN
NCSU
STAN
ML
59%
20-14
48%
16-17
55%
18-15
50%
16-16
ATS
71%
24-10
48%
16-17
55%
18-15
50%
16-16
TTL
71%
24-10
55%
18-15
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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