Home / NHL Projections NHL / Canadiens @ Kings MTL @ LA

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

33-18-10  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 7:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

25-22-14  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 3.00 0.923 --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 4.09 0.826 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 4.09
0.923 Ldr Save % 0.826
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
CANADIENS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Kings Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MONTREAL
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 MTL @ LA 4 - 3
Nov 11, 2025 LA @ MTL 5 - 1
Feb 5, 2025 MTL @ LA 3 - 6
Oct 17, 2024 LA @ MTL 4 - 1
Dec 7, 2023 LA @ MTL 4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +14.5%
Montreal: 31.0% vs Los Angeles: 16.5%
Faceoff % (L5) +10.8%
Montreal: 56.1% vs Los Angeles: 45.3%
Takeaways (L5) +33.6% more
Los Angeles: 5.2 vs Montreal: 3.9
Hits (L5) +31.4% more
Los Angeles: 26.0 vs Montreal: 19.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 4.0 4
LA Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
99%MONEY1%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
MTL
LA
MTL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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