SAN DIEGO
TOREROSUSD
12-20 | Road
56
SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
19-12 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
TOREROS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
TOREROS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
USD By 1-7 points
18.6%
USD By 8-14 points
8.0%
SEA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SEA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Diego
66
SAN DIEGO
Seattle U
71
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
San Diego
70
SAN DIEGO
Seattle U
75
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
USD @ SEA
56 - 58
Jan 15, 2026
USD @ SEA
64 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+53.8% more
Seattle U: 7.7
vs
San Diego: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+48.7% more
Seattle U: 3.9
vs
San Diego: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+27.9% more
San Diego: 16.3
vs
Seattle U: 11.8
Turnovers (L5)
+20.7% more
San Diego: 11.3
vs
Seattle U: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USD Score
66.0
56
SEA Score
71.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 37.2
14.0 / 36.0
Assists
11.8 / 16.3
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 44.5
41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 73.1
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
29.6 / 30.6
30.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.7 / 5.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 11.3
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USD
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: +0.5
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
USD
SEA
USD
ML
46%
16-19
58%
19-14
71%
24-10
70%
23-10
ATS
57%
20-15
55%
18-15
71%
24-10
70%
23-10
TTL
49%
17-18
61%
20-13
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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