DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
13-19 | Road
100
BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
26-5 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
BRUINS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BEL +13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
DRKE By 1-7 points
18.6%
DRKE By 8-14 points
26.8%
BEL By 1-7 points
6.8%
BEL By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
76
DRAKE
Belmont
63
BELMONT
Simulated Score
Drake
78
DRAKE
Belmont
75
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
DRKE @ BEL
100 - 79
Feb 3, 2026
DRKE @ BEL
90 - 103
Jan 10, 2026
BEL @ DRKE
78 - 76
Mar 8, 2025
BEL @ DRKE
50 - 57
Dec 29, 2024
BEL @ DRKE
46 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+13.2% more
Drake: 3.5
vs
Belmont: 3.0
Turnovers (L5)
+12.9% more
Drake: 11.6
vs
Belmont: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Drake: 34.7
vs
Belmont: 31.8
Assists (L5)
+58.5% more
Belmont: 19.0
vs
Drake: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
76.0
100
BEL Score
63.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.3 / 29.6
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
19.0 / 12.0
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.5
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.4 / 40.7
42.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 65.9
69.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 34.7
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.2 / 4.5
1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.6
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
DRKE
BEL
DRKE
ML
47%
15-17
59%
20-14
62%
20-12
38%
13-21
ATS
56%
18-14
85%
29-5
62%
20-12
38%
13-21
TTL
44%
14-18
56%
19-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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