Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buccaneers @ Eagles CHSO @ WIN

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

15-16  |  Road

81
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 2:30 PM ET
Freedom Hall (TN)
View Odds Details →

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

21-10  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BUCCANEERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winthrop)
BuccaneersCHSO (-3.5) 0 EaglesWIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

CHSO By 1-7 points

24.3%

CHSO By 8-14 points

13.7%

WIN By 1-7 points

26.2%

WIN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
74
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
75
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
65
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
78
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 CHSO @ WIN 81 - 86
Feb 26, 2026 WIN @ CHSO 84 - 86
Jan 7, 2026 CHSO @ WIN 77 - 81
Feb 5, 2025 WIN @ CHSO 83 - 65
Jan 15, 2025 CHSO @ WIN 97 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +58.3% more
Winthrop: 7.7 vs Charleston Southern: 4.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.6% more
Winthrop: 41.6 vs Charleston Southern: 37.9
Free Throw % (L5) +7.6%
Winthrop: 71.0% vs Charleston Southern: 63.4%
Blocks (L5) +48.2% more
Charleston Southern: 3.8 vs Winthrop: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 74.0 81
WIN Score 75.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 46.2 24.0 / 32.0
Assists 10.7 / 17.4 8.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.8 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 51.9 38.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 63.4 87.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 37.9 54.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.7 / 4.9 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 15.3 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
CHSO
WIN
CHSO
ML
70% 23-10
43% 13-17
79% 26-7
67% 20-10
ATS
79% 26-7
50% 15-15
79% 26-7
68% 21-10
TTL
58% 19-14
50% 15-15
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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