GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
4-28 | Road
59
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
27-4 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (High Point)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)
GWEB By 1-7 points
4.0%
GWEB By 8-14 points
0.8%
HPU By 1-7 points
13.7%
HPU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Gardner-Webb
69
GARDNER-WEBB
High Point
85
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
Gardner-Webb
74
GARDNER-WEBB
High Point
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
GWEB @ HPU
59 - 81
Feb 14, 2026
HPU @ GWEB
112 - 87
Jan 7, 2026
GWEB @ HPU
49 - 104
Mar 7, 2025
GWEB @ HPU
64 - 85
Feb 22, 2025
HPU @ GWEB
90 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+130.5% more
High Point: 6.1
vs
Gardner-Webb: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+72.3% more
High Point: 15.5
vs
Gardner-Webb: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.7% more
High Point: 35.3
vs
Gardner-Webb: 29.5
Steals (L5)
+10.7% more
High Point: 8.9
vs
Gardner-Webb: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score
69.0
59
HPU Score
85.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 32.2
31.0 / 22.0
Assists
15.5 / 9.0
14.0 / 8.0
Blocks
6.1 / 2.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 44.7
43.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 63.9
68.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 29.5
48.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.9 / 8.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.9
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
GWEB
HPU
GWEB
ML
80%
28-7
73%
22-8
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
ATS
71%
25-10
73%
22-8
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
TTL
66%
23-12
53%
16-14
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
