BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
10-22 | Road
69
NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
25-6 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
BISON
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
BUCK By 1-7 points
1.4%
BUCK By 8-14 points
0.2%
NAVY By 1-7 points
6.8%
NAVY By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
53
BUCKNELL
Navy
74
NAVY
Simulated Score
Bucknell
65
BUCKNELL
Navy
68
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (-15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
BUCK @ NAVY
69 - 74
Feb 9, 2026
NAVY @ BUCK
76 - 60
Jan 7, 2026
BUCK @ NAVY
55 - 76
Mar 9, 2025
NAVY @ BUCK
83 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
BUCK @ NAVY
85 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+317.0% more
Navy: 3.8
vs
Bucknell: 0.6
Assists (L5)
+80.4% more
Navy: 19.0
vs
Bucknell: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+18.5% more
Navy: 37.9
vs
Bucknell: 32.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.3%
Navy: 41.0%
vs
Bucknell: 28.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
53.0
69
NAVY Score
74.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 28.7
48.0 / 38.0
Assists
19.0 / 10.5
19.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.8 / 0.6
7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 46.2
51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 71.5
75.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 32.0
28.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.8 / 8.1
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 12.2
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
BUCK
NAVY
BUCK
ML
79%
26-7
55%
18-15
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
ATS
73%
24-9
45%
15-18
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
TTL
73%
24-9
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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