Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Skyhawks EIU @ UTM

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

13-19  |  Road

63
FINAL
Thu, Mar 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Ford Center
View Odds Details →

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

21-10  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
SKYHAWKS
100%
PANTHERS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
PanthersEIU (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksUTM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

93.3%

Skyhawks Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EIU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)

EIU By 1-7 points

15.3%

EIU By 8-14 points

25.3%

UTM By 1-7 points

4.8%

UTM By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
77
EASTERN ILLINOIS
62
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
75
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o126.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u126.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 EIU @ UTM 63 - 66
Jan 29, 2026 UTM @ EIU 76 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 EIU @ UTM 61 - 65
Feb 15, 2025 UTM @ EIU 72 - 68
Jan 16, 2025 EIU @ UTM 63 - 68
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.6%
Eastern Illinois: 32.6% vs UT Martin: 25.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Eastern Illinois: 43.7% vs UT Martin: 37.1%
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
UT Martin: 14.0 vs Eastern Illinois: 10.9
Blocks (L5) +26.4% more
UT Martin: 4.4 vs Eastern Illinois: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 77.0 63
UTM Score 62.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.0 / 32.6 28.0 / 42.0
Assists 10.9 / 11.5 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 37.1 / 43.7 39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 71.0 78.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 33.1 39.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.1 / 8.6 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 10.9 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTM
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
EIU
UTM
EIU
ML
69% 22-10
56% 18-14
69% 20-9
74% 23-8
ATS
56% 18-14
50% 16-16
69% 20-9
74% 23-8
TTL
44% 14-18
69% 22-10
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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