LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
18-14 | Road
66
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
19-12 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
LIONS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Southeast Missouri State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEMO -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEMO)
LIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
LIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
SEMO By 1-7 points
27.4%
SEMO By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Lindenwood
79
LINDENWOOD
Southeast Missouri State
83
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Simulated Score
Lindenwood
75
LINDENWOOD
Southeast Missouri State
82
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
LIN @ SEMO
66 - 68
Feb 14, 2026
SEMO @ LIN
73 - 61
Jan 15, 2026
LIN @ SEMO
88 - 76
Feb 22, 2025
LIN @ SEMO
58 - 74
Jan 23, 2025
SEMO @ LIN
68 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Southeast Missouri State: 72.9%
vs
Lindenwood: 66.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Southeast Missouri State: 33.0%
vs
Lindenwood: 27.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Southeast Missouri State: 44.4%
vs
Lindenwood: 40.7%
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Lindenwood: 8.8
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIN Score
79.0
66
SEMO Score
83.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 27.5
29.0 / 23.0
Assists
9.8 / 10.1
12.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.4 / 4.2
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 40.7
42.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 66.5
75.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 40.9
35.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 10.6
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
SEMO
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
SEMO
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEMO
LIN
SEMO
LIN
ML
64%
21-12
47%
15-17
50%
15-15
61%
19-12
ATS
67%
22-11
34%
11-21
50%
15-15
61%
19-12
TTL
58%
19-14
53%
17-15
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…