AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
EAGLESAMER
16-16 | Road
73
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
16-16 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
TERRIERS
0%
EAGLES
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
AMER By 1-7 points
21.6%
AMER By 8-14 points
10.7%
BU By 1-7 points
27.2%
BU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
American University
62
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Boston University
65
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
American University
68
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Boston University
74
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
AMER @ BU
73 - 75
Feb 28, 2026
BU @ AMER
68 - 65
Jan 3, 2026
AMER @ BU
64 - 62
Feb 22, 2025
BU @ AMER
44 - 48
Jan 8, 2025
AMER @ BU
54 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+290.0% more
Boston University: 3.6
vs
American University: 0.7
Turnovers (L5)
+53.8% more
Boston University: 11.2
vs
American University: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Boston University: 13.3
vs
American University: 11.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.3%
Boston University: 52.7%
vs
American University: 41.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AMER Score
62.0
73
BU Score
65.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 32.9
53.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.3 / 11.7
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.6 / 0.7
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 41.4
60.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 73.5
50.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 30.5
24.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.8 / 6.8
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 7.3
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMER
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
BU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMER
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
AMER
BU
AMER
ML
68%
23-11
62%
20-12
62%
21-13
62%
20-12
ATS
62%
21-13
59%
19-13
62%
21-13
62%
20-12
TTL
65%
22-12
59%
19-13
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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