PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
13-17 | Road
70
TEXAS SOUTHERN
TIGERSTXSO
12-16 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TXSO -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TXSO)
PV By 1-7 points
12.2%
PV By 8-14 points
4.0%
TXSO By 1-7 points
24.3%
TXSO By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
69
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Texas Southern
78
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
68
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Texas Southern
72
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
PV @ TXSO
70 - 59
Jan 31, 2026
TXSO @ PV
78 - 85
Mar 8, 2025
TXSO @ PV
80 - 68
Feb 1, 2025
PV @ TXSO
63 - 79
Mar 9, 2024
PV @ TXSO
78 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.3% more
Texas Southern: 13.8
vs
Prairie View A&M: 11.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Texas Southern: 50.0%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 43.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Texas Southern: 78.5%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 75.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Texas Southern: 33.9%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
69.0
70
TXSO Score
78.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 31.6
13.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.8 / 13.4
9.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.0 / 8.4
8.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 43.7
30.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 75.4
68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 38.8
49.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 11.4
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
TXSO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
TXSO
9-19-0
(32.1%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
PV
TXSO
PV
ML
64%
18-10
59%
20-14
71%
17-7
68%
21-10
ATS
61%
17-11
56%
19-15
71%
17-7
68%
21-10
TTL
71%
20-8
50%
17-17
100%
24-0
100%
31-0
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