UTAH VALLEY
WOLVERINESUVU
22-7 | Road
92
SOUTHERN UTAH
THUNDERBIRDSSUU
10-19 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
THUNDERBIRDS
100%
WOLVERINES
--
THUNDERBIRDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Utah Valley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)
UVU By 1-7 points
16.9%
UVU By 8-14 points
26.2%
SUU By 1-7 points
5.8%
SUU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Valley
73
UTAH VALLEY
Southern Utah
59
SOUTHERN UTAH
Simulated Score
Utah Valley
71
UTAH VALLEY
Southern Utah
73
SOUTHERN UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Thunderbirds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Thunderbirds (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
UVU @ SUU
92 - 88
Jan 21, 2026
UVU @ SUU
70 - 84
Jan 8, 2026
SUU @ UVU
72 - 89
Mar 1, 2025
SUU @ UVU
59 - 100
Feb 15, 2025
UVU @ SUU
70 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.3% more
Utah Valley: 7.1
vs
Southern Utah: 4.4
Steals (L5)
+33.5% more
Utah Valley: 9.8
vs
Southern Utah: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+18.6% more
Utah Valley: 17.0
vs
Southern Utah: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.0%
Southern Utah: 43.6%
vs
Utah Valley: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVU Score
73.0
92
SUU Score
59.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.6 / 30.6
47.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.8 / 17.0
21.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.4 / 7.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 50.4
63.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 64.9
59.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 34.5
26.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.8
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 13.5
14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SUU
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SUU
Advantage
14-14-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.8
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SUU
UVU
SUU
UVU
ML
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
72%
23-9
ATS
71%
22-9
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
74%
25-9
TTL
52%
16-15
44%
14-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Controversial Extra Second Gives Michigan a Miraculous Win: Insi…
Michigan Fans Face Backlash for Storming Field After Controversi…
Michigan Wolverines' Top Freshman Guard Brandon McCoy Jr. Sideli…
Nov 22, 2025; College Park, Maryland, USA; Michigan Wolverines q…
Apr 6, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; UConn Huskies head coach Dan…