AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
OWLS
0%
GREEN WAVE
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEM -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TULN By 1-7 points
9.3%
TULN By 8-14 points
2.7%
TEM By 1-7 points
21.6%
TEM By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
71
TULANE
Temple
82
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
Tulane
68
TULANE
Temple
72
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
TULN @ TEM
60 - 89
Feb 11, 2026
TEM @ TULN
66 - 77
Jan 19, 2025
TULN @ TEM
77 - 80
Feb 4, 2024
TEM @ TULN
80 - 92
Mar 5, 2023
TEM @ TULN
82 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Temple: 45.9%
vs
Tulane: 40.7%
Blocks (L5)
+52.3% more
Tulane: 4.7
vs
Temple: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+36.8% more
Tulane: 13.8
vs
Temple: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+33.9% more
Tulane: 6.6
vs
Temple: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
71.0
60
TEM Score
82.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 31.2
50.0 / 27.0
Assists
9.8 / 12.7
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.7
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 40.7
53.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 70.8
78.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
28.7 / 31.9
41.0 / 23.0
Steals
4.3 / 6.6
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 13.8
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
TULN
TEM
TULN
ML
62%
20-12
70%
23-10
67%
20-10
47%
15-17
ATS
56%
18-14
62%
20-12-1
67%
20-10
47%
15-17
TTL
69%
22-10
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0