Home / NHL Projections NHL / Islanders @ Kings NYI @ LA

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

35-22-5  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 5 • 9:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

24-22-14  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 5.83 0.857 --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 3.00 0.914 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.83 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.857 Save % Ldr 0.914
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
ISLANDERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

15.9%

Kings Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

LA By 1 goal

17.5%

LA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 LA @ NYI 3 - 2
Mar 5, 2026 NYI @ LA 3 - 5
Mar 11, 2025 NYI @ LA 1 - 4
Dec 10, 2024 LA @ NYI 3 - 1
Mar 11, 2024 NYI @ LA 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +22.7% more
Los Angeles: 27.0 vs New York: 22.0
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.4% more
Los Angeles: 26.7 vs New York: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +19.2% more
Los Angeles: 14.7 vs New York: 12.3
Power Play % (L5) +12.8%
Los Angeles: 16.5% vs New York: 3.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 1.0 3
LA Score 3.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
NYI
LA
NYI
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-3
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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