UTAH
JAZZUTAH
18-43 | Road
102
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
33-28 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
76ERS
0%
JAZZ
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
249.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
UTAH By 1-7 points
24.3%
UTAH By 8-14 points
13.7%
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
124
UTAH
Philadelphia
125
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Utah
115
UTAH
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o238.0
Loss
Proj Total: 249.0
D
Sim
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 21, 2026
PHI @ UTAH
126 - 116
Mar 4, 2026
UTAH @ PHI
102 - 106
Mar 9, 2025
UTAH @ PHI
122 - 126
Dec 28, 2024
PHI @ UTAH
114 - 111
Feb 1, 2024
PHI @ UTAH
127 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Philadelphia: 4.5
vs
Utah: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Philadelphia: 41.4
vs
Utah: 38.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Philadelphia: 80.0%
vs
Utah: 78.4%
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Utah: 11.8
vs
Philadelphia: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
124.0
102
PHI Score
125.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 32.7
26.0 / 31.0
Assists
22.7 / 25.5
24.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.1
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 45.3
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 78.4
81.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
41.4 / 38.3
43.0 / 42.0
Steals
10.1 / 11.8
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 12.3
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
UTAH
PHI
UTAH
ML
63%
69-40
60%
96-63
48%
45-48
48%
40-43
ATS
65%
71-38
68%
108-51
48%
45-48
48%
40-43
TTL
55%
60-49
75%
119-39-1
100%
93-0
100%
83-0
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