CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
7-24 | Road
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
21-10 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
SHARKS
0%
COUGARS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
CHST By 1-7 points
2.7%
CHST By 8-14 points
0.5%
LIU By 1-7 points
10.7%
LIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago State
58
CHICAGO STATE
Long Island University
76
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Chicago State
71
CHICAGO STATE
Long Island University
78
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
CHST @ LIU
75 - 79
Feb 26, 2026
CHST @ LIU
56 - 73
Jan 4, 2026
LIU @ CHST
74 - 55
Mar 5, 2025
CHST @ LIU
57 - 68
Feb 1, 2025
LIU @ CHST
67 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+209.4% more
Long Island University: 5.0
vs
Chicago State: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+48.3% more
Long Island University: 12.5
vs
Chicago State: 8.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.4%
Long Island University: 52.6%
vs
Chicago State: 40.2%
Assists (L5)
+10.3% more
Long Island University: 15.3
vs
Chicago State: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHST Score
58.0
75
LIU Score
76.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.8 / 30.0
50.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.3 / 13.8
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.0 / 1.6
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.6 / 40.2
53.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 67.4
80.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 30.1
30.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.6
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 8.4
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
CHST
LIU
CHST
ML
60%
21-14
75%
24-8
69%
24-11
73%
22-8
ATS
63%
22-13
69%
22-10
69%
24-11
73%
22-8
TTL
60%
21-14
44%
14-18
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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