STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
11-20 | Road
81
LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
15-16 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
SKYHAWKS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Le Moyne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
STO By 1-7 points
24.3%
STO By 8-14 points
13.7%
LEM By 1-7 points
26.2%
LEM By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
75
STONEHILL
Le Moyne
76
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
Stonehill
69
STONEHILL
Le Moyne
73
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
STO @ LEM
81 - 71
Feb 21, 2026
LEM @ STO
68 - 77
Jan 31, 2026
STO @ LEM
65 - 54
Mar 1, 2025
LEM @ STO
79 - 85
Jan 20, 2025
STO @ LEM
72 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.9% more
Le Moyne: 5.8
vs
Stonehill: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+14.1% more
Le Moyne: 11.7
vs
Stonehill: 10.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.4%
Le Moyne: 76.7%
vs
Stonehill: 68.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Le Moyne: 45.8%
vs
Stonehill: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
75.0
81
LEM Score
76.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.9 / 33.7
30.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.5 / 14.2
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.7 / 4.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 42.9
38.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 68.3
75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 39.6
44.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.8 / 4.0
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 10.3
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
STO
LEM
STO
ML
68%
21-10
45%
15-18
68%
21-10
70%
23-10
ATS
65%
20-11
39%
13-20
69%
22-10
70%
23-10
TTL
42%
13-18
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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