Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Raiders CLE @ WRST

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

11-21  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

20-11  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
VIKINGS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

46.0%

Raiders Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

CLE By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

16.9%

WRST By 1-7 points

24.3%

WRST By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
82
CLEVELAND STATE
81
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
75
CLEVELAND STATE
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 CLE @ WRST 61 - 90
Feb 15, 2026 WRST @ CLE 102 - 90
Jan 21, 2026 CLE @ WRST 85 - 79
Feb 27, 2025 CLE @ WRST 76 - 82
Dec 29, 2024 WRST @ CLE 64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +19.8% more
Cleveland State: 16.1 vs Wright State: 12.9
Blocks (L5) +20.9% more
Wright State: 2.9 vs Cleveland State: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +11.5% more
Wright State: 34.9 vs Cleveland State: 31.3
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
Wright State: 73.0% vs Cleveland State: 68.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 82.0 61
WRST Score 81.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.9 / 40.9 27.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.9 / 16.1 16.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.4 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 49.8 55.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 68.7 80.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 31.3 44.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.8 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 12.8 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
CLE
WRST
CLE
ML
37% 13-22
52% 17-16
63% 22-13
64% 21-12
ATS
46% 16-19
64% 21-12
63% 22-13
64% 21-12
TTL
63% 22-13
52% 17-16
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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