AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
0%
49ERS
100%
BLAZERS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAB -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
UAB By 1-7 points
27.2%
UAB By 8-14 points
23.0%
CLT By 1-7 points
18.6%
CLT By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
78
UAB
Charlotte
73
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
UAB
73
UAB
Charlotte
68
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blazers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Blazers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
CLT @ UAB
83 - 78
Mar 4, 2026
UAB @ CLT
80 - 74
Feb 1, 2025
CLT @ UAB
78 - 96
Jan 23, 2024
UAB @ CLT
70 - 76
Mar 4, 2023
UAB @ CLT
93 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.0% more
UAB: 4.5
vs
Charlotte: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+36.3% more
UAB: 6.6
vs
Charlotte: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+15.6% more
Charlotte: 12.7
vs
UAB: 11.0
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
Charlotte: 11.3
vs
UAB: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
78.0
80
CLT Score
73.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 27.8
30.0 / 22.0
Assists
12.7 / 11.0
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.5
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 41.9
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 68.3
71.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 36.1
27.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.2 / 6.6
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.0
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
UAB
CLT
UAB
ML
62%
21-13
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
41%
13-19
ATS
68%
23-11
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
41%
13-19
TTL
65%
22-12
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0