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CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

20-9  |  Road

76
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 7:00 PM ET
McCamish Pavilion
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

YELLOW JACKETSGT

11-18  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
📊
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
GOLDEN BEARS --
YELLOW JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (California)
Golden BearsCAL (-3.5) 0 Yellow JacketsGT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Bears Cover

75.8%

Yellow Jackets Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAL -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)

CAL By 1-7 points

26.2%

CAL By 8-14 points

25.3%

GT By 1-7 points

15.3%

GT By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
92
CALIFORNIA
85
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
69
CALIFORNIA
73
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yellow Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Bears (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Yellow Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 CAL @ GT 76 - 65
Feb 4, 2026 GT @ CAL 85 - 90
Feb 15, 2025 CAL @ GT 88 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +17.7% more
California: 6.3 vs Georgia Tech: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +9.4% more
California: 2.8 vs Georgia Tech: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
California: 42.5% vs Georgia Tech: 40.6%
Assists (L5) +15.8% more
Georgia Tech: 14.7 vs California: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAL Score 92.0 76
GT Score 85.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.0 / 31.4 27.0 / 21.0
Assists 14.7 / 12.7 16.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 42.5 39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 79.0 / 76.6 79.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 33.3 35.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.3 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 12.0 17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
GT
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAL Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
GT
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
CAL
GT
CAL
ML
61% 19-12
61% 20-13
63% 19-11
77% 24-7
ATS
55% 17-14
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
78% 25-7
TTL
61% 19-12
70% 23-10
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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