AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
TITANS
0%
PANTHERS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
MILW By 1-7 points
15.3%
MILW By 8-14 points
5.8%
DETM By 1-7 points
26.2%
DETM By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
68
MILWAUKEE
Detroit Mercy
75
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
65
MILWAUKEE
Detroit Mercy
78
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
MILW @ DETM
63 - 84
Feb 20, 2026
MILW @ DETM
86 - 91
Feb 4, 2026
DETM @ MILW
76 - 63
Mar 1, 2025
DETM @ MILW
67 - 89
Jan 4, 2025
MILW @ DETM
64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.8% more
Detroit Mercy: 3.4
vs
Milwaukee: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.6%
Detroit Mercy: 82.1%
vs
Milwaukee: 72.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Detroit Mercy: 48.9%
vs
Milwaukee: 47.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+17.8% more
Milwaukee: 11.5
vs
Detroit Mercy: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MILW Score
68.0
63
DETM Score
75.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 37.9
37.0 / 23.0
Assists
15.3 / 14.5
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.0
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 47.1
54.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 72.5
81.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 34.7
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.6 / 8.0
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 11.5
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.0
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
MILW
DETM
MILW
ML
58%
18-13
50%
16-16
50%
15-15
69%
22-10
ATS
61%
19-12
47%
15-17
50%
15-15
69%
22-10
TTL
61%
19-12
59%
19-13
100%
30-0
100%
32-0