EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
12-19 | Road
77
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
19-12 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIUE -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)
EIU By 1-7 points
6.8%
EIU By 8-14 points
1.7%
SIUE By 1-7 points
18.6%
SIUE By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
65
EASTERN ILLINOIS
SIU Edwardsville
78
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
SIU Edwardsville
72
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o128.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
EIU @ SIUE
77 - 71
Feb 28, 2026
EIU @ SIUE
50 - 77
Dec 18, 2025
SIUE @ EIU
72 - 76
Feb 4, 2025
EIU @ SIUE
41 - 66
Jan 7, 2025
SIUE @ EIU
60 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+40.4% more
SIU Edwardsville: 14.3
vs
Eastern Illinois: 10.2
Rebounding (L5)
+11.8% more
SIU Edwardsville: 34.8
vs
Eastern Illinois: 31.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
SIU Edwardsville: 47.5%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 40.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Eastern Illinois: 71.9%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 63.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
65.0
77
SIUE Score
78.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 33.4
40.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.3 / 10.2
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.2
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 40.1
37.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
63.9 / 71.9
65.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 31.1
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.4
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.4
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
SIUE
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
EIU
SIUE
EIU
ML
65%
20-11
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
74%
23-8
ATS
55%
17-14
50%
16-16
60%
18-12
74%
23-8
TTL
48%
15-16
69%
22-10
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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