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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

22-29-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

29-22-9  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 2.00 0.944 --
Philipp Grubauer None-None 3.10 0.889 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.10
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.889
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
KRAKEN
100%
BLUES --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

30.9%

Kraken Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SEA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

SEA By 1 goal

12.1%

SEA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
ST. LOUIS
3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 STL @ SEA 3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 SEA @ STL 1 - 5
Nov 8, 2025 SEA @ STL 4 - 3
Apr 12, 2025 STL @ SEA 3 - 4
Feb 25, 2025 SEA @ STL 2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +7.0%
St. Louis: 28.6% vs Seattle: 21.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +43.0% more
Seattle: 16.6 vs St. Louis: 11.6
Faceoff % (L5) +2.7%
Seattle: 50.2% vs St. Louis: 47.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 4.0 3
SEA Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
27%MONEY73%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
STL
SEA
STL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-4
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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