ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
11-20 | Road
55
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
9-22 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
BISON
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARMY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
ARMY By 1-7 points
26.8%
ARMY By 8-14 points
18.6%
BUCK By 1-7 points
23.0%
BUCK By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
77
ARMY
Bucknell
75
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Army
68
ARMY
Bucknell
72
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
ARMY @ BUCK
55 - 65
Feb 25, 2026
BUCK @ ARMY
75 - 73
Jan 21, 2026
ARMY @ BUCK
87 - 84
Feb 23, 2025
ARMY @ BUCK
53 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
BUCK @ ARMY
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.0% more
Army: 2.3
vs
Bucknell: 0.9
Assists (L5)
+28.6% more
Army: 16.5
vs
Bucknell: 11.8
Turnovers (L5)
+9.1% more
Army: 13.5
vs
Bucknell: 12.2
Steals (L5)
+27.6% more
Bucknell: 8.6
vs
Army: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
77.0
55
BUCK Score
75.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 32.3
19.0 / 12.0
Assists
11.8 / 16.5
8.0 / 11.0
Blocks
0.9 / 2.3
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 42.7
47.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 77.1
61.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
30.0 / 31.6
36.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.6 / 6.7
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 13.5
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
BUCK
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
ARMY
BUCK
ARMY
ML
55%
18-15
44%
14-18
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
ATS
45%
15-18
44%
14-18
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
TTL
61%
20-13
81%
26-6
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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