HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
10-21 | Road
82
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
11-20 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
LEOPARDS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Lafayette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)
HC By 1-7 points
12.2%
HC By 8-14 points
4.0%
LAF By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAF By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
63
HOLY CROSS
Lafayette
72
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
66
HOLY CROSS
Lafayette
71
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leopards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leopards (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
HC @ LAF
82 - 77
Feb 18, 2026
LAF @ HC
86 - 83
Jan 17, 2026
HC @ LAF
55 - 74
Mar 4, 2025
HC @ LAF
68 - 69
Feb 19, 2025
LAF @ HC
69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+48.0% more
Lafayette: 14.7
vs
Holy Cross: 10.0
Steals (L5)
+29.3% more
Lafayette: 5.1
vs
Holy Cross: 3.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Lafayette: 47.1%
vs
Holy Cross: 43.0%
Blocks (L5)
+15.3% more
Holy Cross: 2.9
vs
Lafayette: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
63.0
82
LAF Score
72.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 31.7
48.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.7 / 10.0
18.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 43.0
49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 77.8
83.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 31.2
26.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.1 / 3.9
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 9.5
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAF
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
HC
LAF
HC
ML
53%
17-15
52%
16-15
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
18-14
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
TTL
50%
16-16
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
