Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cornhuskers @ Bruins NEB @ UCLA

NEBRASKA

CORNHUSKERSNEB

25-4  |  Road

52
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 11:00 PM ET
Pauley Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

19-10  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
0%
📊
BRUINS
100%
CORNHUSKERS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Nebraska)
CornhuskersNEB (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cornhuskers Cover

97.1%

Bruins Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEB -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)

NEB By 1-7 points

9.3%

NEB By 8-14 points

20.1%

UCLA By 1-7 points

2.2%

UCLA By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
81
NEBRASKA
62
UCLA
Simulated Score
68
NEBRASKA
75
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cornhuskers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cornhuskers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 NEB @ UCLA 52 - 72
Jan 4, 2025 UCLA @ NEB 58 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +37.4% more
Nebraska: 10.6 vs UCLA: 6.7
Blocks (L5) +37.3% more
Nebraska: 2.8 vs UCLA: 1.8
Steals (L5) +35.9% more
Nebraska: 8.0 vs UCLA: 5.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.9% more
Nebraska: 36.1 vs UCLA: 30.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NEB Score 81.0 52
UCLA Score 62.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 35.0 34.0 / 21.0
Assists 19.8 / 18.5 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.8 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 44.9 47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 80.6 / 81.8 60.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 30.0 / 36.1 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.2 / 8.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 6.7 / 10.6 8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB Advantage
28-7-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
UCLA
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB Advantage
19-15-1 (55.9%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
UCLA
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -6.7
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
NEB
UCLA
NEB
ML
67% 24-12
51% 18-17
76% 25-8
62% 21-13
ATS
61% 22-14
54% 19-16
76% 25-8
62% 21-13
TTL
61% 22-14
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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