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IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

7-24  |  Road

93
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Wolstein Center
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

10-21  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
JAGUARS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Cleveland State)
JaguarsIUIN (-3.5) 0 VikingsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

46.0%

Vikings Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

IUIN By 1-7 points

24.3%

IUIN By 8-14 points

13.7%

CLE By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
76
IU INDIANAPOLIS
77
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
75
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u168.5 Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u168.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 IUIN @ CLE 93 - 101
Feb 7, 2026 CLE @ IUIN 74 - 82
Dec 29, 2025 IUIN @ CLE 86 - 99
Jan 19, 2025 CLE @ IUIN 73 - 62
Jan 4, 2025 IUIN @ CLE 61 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.4% more
IU Indianapolis: 2.3 vs Cleveland State: 1.6
Assists (L5) +20.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.6 vs Cleveland State: 15.7
Turnovers (L5) +14.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 12.5 vs Cleveland State: 10.6
Rebounding (L5) +8.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 31.2 vs Cleveland State: 28.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score 76.0 93
CLE Score 77.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 35.5 55.0 / 38.0
Assists 15.7 / 19.6 17.0 / 20.0
Blocks 1.6 / 2.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 47.6 63.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 70.0 70.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 28.4 / 31.2 37.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.8 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 12.5 17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
CLE Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
CLE Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
IUIN
CLE
IUIN
ML
52% 17-16
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
78% 25-7
ATS
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
78% 25-7
TTL
52% 17-16
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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