Home / NHL Projections NHL / Avalanche @ Kings COL @ LA

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

39-10-9  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

24-21-14  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 2.00 0.905 --
Anton Forsberg None-None 3.07 0.921 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.07
0.905 Save % Ldr 0.921
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
AVALANCHE --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

93.3%

Kings Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1 goal

12.1%

COL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

LA By 1 goal

2.8%

LA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
COLORADO
1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Avalanche Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Avalanche (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 30, 2026 LA @ COL 4 - 8
Apr 26, 2026 COL @ LA 5 - 1
Apr 23, 2026 COL @ LA 4 - 2
Apr 19, 2026 LA @ COL 1 - 2
Mar 2, 2026 COL @ LA 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.1% more
Colorado: 30.8 vs Los Angeles: 26.7
Takeaways (L5) +11.8% more
Colorado: 5.3 vs Los Angeles: 4.6
Faceoff % (L5) +8.1%
Colorado: 53.4% vs Los Angeles: 45.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +49.5% more
Los Angeles: 14.7 vs Colorado: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.0 4
LA Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
COL
LA
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
NHL's Earliest Start Yields Scoring Surge and Sloppy Play
observer_reporter 0 minutes ago
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 8 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 11 minutes ago
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 11 minutes ago
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 27 minutes ago