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SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

16-11  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 2:00 PM ET
McCann Arena
View Odds Details →

MARIST

RED FOXESMRST

18-10  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
0%
📊
RED FOXES
100%
PEACOCKS --
RED FOXES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Saint Peter's)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 Red FoxesMRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

88.5%

Red Foxes Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)

SPU By 1-7 points

20.1%

SPU By 8-14 points

27.2%

MRST By 1-7 points

8.0%

MRST By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
83
SAINT PETER'S
71
MARIST
Simulated Score
63
SAINT PETER'S
67
MARIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Peacocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Foxes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Peacocks (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Red Foxes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 SPU @ MRST 63 - 56
Jan 2, 2026 MRST @ SPU 59 - 69
Mar 2, 2025 SPU @ MRST 57 - 52
Jan 16, 2025 MRST @ SPU 56 - 51
Feb 25, 2024 MRST @ SPU 60 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.2% more
Saint Peter's: 12.0 vs Marist: 7.8
Blocks (L5) +34.5% more
Saint Peter's: 4.7 vs Marist: 3.1
Steals (L5) +29.3% more
Saint Peter's: 8.0 vs Marist: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Saint Peter's: 38.2% vs Marist: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 83.0 63
MRST Score 71.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 38.2 21.0 / 35.0
Assists 15.8 / 13.3 10.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.7 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 43.4 35.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 71.3 67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 34.7 34.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.7 / 8.0 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 12.0 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
MRST Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 5.8 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
MRST
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 5.8 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRST
SPU
MRST
SPU
ML
55% 17-14
64% 18-10
61% 19-12
71% 20-8
ATS
74% 23-8
71% 20-8
61% 19-12
71% 20-8
TTL
52% 16-15
61% 17-11
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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