RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
11-17 | Road
69
MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
11-17 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
TERRAPINS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MD -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
RUTG By 1-7 points
12.2%
RUTG By 8-14 points
4.0%
MD By 1-7 points
24.3%
MD By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
63
RUTGERS
Maryland
72
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Rutgers
68
RUTGERS
Maryland
72
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
RUTG @ MD
69 - 65
Feb 15, 2026
MD @ RUTG
57 - 68
Feb 9, 2025
RUTG @ MD
81 - 90
Mar 13, 2024
RUTG @ MD
51 - 65
Feb 25, 2024
MD @ RUTG
63 - 46
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+83.9% more
Maryland: 3.2
vs
Rutgers: 1.7
Turnovers (L5)
+27.0% more
Maryland: 11.1
vs
Rutgers: 8.8
Rebounding (L5)
+22.9% more
Maryland: 34.9
vs
Rutgers: 28.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Maryland: 34.1%
vs
Rutgers: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
63.0
69
MD Score
72.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 29.4
21.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.6 / 14.5
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.2 / 1.7
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 44.3
40.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 74.4
69.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 28.4
50.0 / 26.0
Steals
3.3 / 5.7
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 8.8
19.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
RUTG
MD
RUTG
ML
70%
23-10
53%
18-16
67%
22-11
70%
23-10
ATS
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
67%
22-11
70%
23-10
TTL
64%
21-12
53%
18-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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