Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / 49ers @ Owls CLT @ FAU

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

15-13  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

OWLSFAU

16-13  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
49ERS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 OwlsFAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

42.1%

Owls Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)

CLT By 1-7 points

23.0%

CLT By 8-14 points

12.2%

FAU By 1-7 points

26.8%

FAU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
CHARLOTTE
71
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
67
CHARLOTTE
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 CLT @ FAU 76 - 77
Mar 13, 2025 CLT @ FAU 59 - 64
Feb 10, 2025 CLT @ FAU 75 - 87
Jan 8, 2025 FAU @ CLT 75 - 64
Jan 6, 2024 FAU @ CLT 68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.5% more
Florida Atlantic: 4.9 vs Charlotte: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 35.9 vs Charlotte: 32.3
Steals (L5) +20.2% more
Charlotte: 4.8 vs Florida Atlantic: 3.8
Turnovers (L5) +13.7% more
Charlotte: 11.9 vs Florida Atlantic: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 69.0 76
FAU Score 71.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 36.2 25.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.6 / 12.1 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.1 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 50.1 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 74.0 65.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 32.3 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 3.8 / 4.8 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.9 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
FAU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
FAU Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
CLT
FAU
CLT
ML
64% 21-12
62% 21-13
66% 21-11
67% 22-11
ATS
70% 23-10
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
67% 22-11
TTL
58% 19-14
65% 22-12
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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