AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
OWLS
100%
OWLS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICE -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
RICE By 1-7 points
8.0%
RICE By 8-14 points
18.6%
TEM By 1-7 points
1.7%
TEM By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
84
RICE
Temple
64
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
Rice
68
RICE
Temple
72
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
RICE @ TEM
80 - 74
Jan 21, 2026
TEM @ RICE
69 - 65
Jan 11, 2025
TEM @ RICE
73 - 70
Feb 28, 2024
TEM @ RICE
65 - 43
Jan 20, 2024
RICE @ TEM
69 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+44.7% more
Rice: 14.6
vs
Temple: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+26.1% more
Rice: 3.9
vs
Temple: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Rice: 11.6
vs
Temple: 9.7
Rebounding (L5)
+14.2% more
Rice: 35.5
vs
Temple: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
84.0
80
TEM Score
64.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 36.0
29.0 / 31.0
Assists
9.7 / 11.6
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 40.0
50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 72.7
73.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 35.5
25.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.8
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 14.6
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TEM
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
RICE
TEM
RICE
ML
62%
20-12
53%
16-14
67%
20-10
53%
16-14
ATS
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
67%
20-10
53%
16-14
TTL
69%
22-10
77%
23-7
100%
30-0
100%
30-0