ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
7-20 | Road
51
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
12-17 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
PANTHERS
100%
BRAVES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PV +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
ALCN By 1-7 points
27.4%
ALCN By 8-14 points
21.6%
PV By 1-7 points
20.1%
PV By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Alcorn State
83
ALCORN STATE
Prairie View A&M
79
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
Alcorn State
68
ALCORN STATE
Prairie View A&M
72
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
ALCN @ PV
56 - 65
Feb 28, 2026
ALCN @ PV
51 - 72
Jan 19, 2026
PV @ ALCN
75 - 76
Mar 1, 2025
PV @ ALCN
55 - 71
Jan 20, 2025
ALCN @ PV
78 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.2% more
Alcorn State: 8.8
vs
Prairie View A&M: 8.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Alcorn State: 45.1%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 42.5%
Blocks (L5)
+64.5% more
Prairie View A&M: 5.6
vs
Alcorn State: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.2% more
Prairie View A&M: 36.2
vs
Alcorn State: 32.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score
83.0
51
PV Score
79.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 29.3
28.0 / 36.0
Assists
12.1 / 12.1
16.0 / 5.0
Blocks
5.6 / 3.4
14.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 45.1
46.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
83.0 / 75.2
60.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 32.9
44.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.8
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.2
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
ALCN
PV
ALCN
ML
59%
20-14
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
75%
18-6
ATS
56%
19-15
68%
21-10-1
68%
21-10
75%
18-6
TTL
50%
17-17
47%
15-17
100%
31-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
