BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
9-21 | Road
79
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
14-16 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
BISON
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Bucknell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
BUCK By 1-7 points
26.2%
BUCK By 8-14 points
25.3%
LEH By 1-7 points
15.3%
LEH By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
79
BUCKNELL
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Bucknell
68
BUCKNELL
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
BUCK @ LEH
79 - 89
Jan 3, 2026
LEH @ BUCK
65 - 72
Feb 17, 2025
LEH @ BUCK
50 - 67
Jan 2, 2025
BUCK @ LEH
64 - 66
Feb 12, 2024
LEH @ BUCK
71 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+31.4% more
Bucknell: 7.9
vs
Lehigh: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+17.4% more
Bucknell: 12.8
vs
Lehigh: 10.6
Blocks (L5)
+235.0% more
Lehigh: 3.2
vs
Bucknell: 0.8
Assists (L5)
+38.6% more
Lehigh: 15.5
vs
Bucknell: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
79.0
79
LEH Score
72.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 28.8
52.0 / 43.0
Assists
15.5 / 11.2
24.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.2 / 0.8
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 43.2
59.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 77.5
95.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 32.9
29.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.4 / 7.9
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 12.8
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
BUCK
LEH
BUCK
ML
56%
19-15
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
ATS
56%
19-15
45%
15-18
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
TTL
76%
26-8
61%
20-13
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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