AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
SHARKS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
FDU By 1-7 points
18.6%
FDU By 8-14 points
8.0%
LIU By 1-7 points
27.2%
LIU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
74
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Long Island University
79
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
65
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Long Island University
70
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FDU @ LIU
60 - 74
Jan 17, 2026
LIU @ FDU
66 - 59
Mar 1, 2025
LIU @ FDU
74 - 55
Feb 15, 2025
FDU @ LIU
58 - 62
Feb 15, 2024
FDU @ LIU
84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+454.0% more
Long Island University: 5.4
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 0.9
Steals (L5)
+85.7% more
Long Island University: 7.9
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 4.3
Turnovers (L5)
+31.4% more
Long Island University: 13.7
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.4
Assists (L5)
+27.4% more
Long Island University: 13.9
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
74.0
60
LIU Score
79.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 34.3
50.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.9 / 10.9
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.4 / 0.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 40.8
54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 72.1
67.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 33.1
23.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.9 / 4.3
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 10.4
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
FDU
LIU
FDU
ML
60%
21-14
65%
20-11
69%
24-11
74%
23-8
ATS
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
74%
23-8
TTL
60%
21-14
58%
18-13
100%
35-0
100%
31-0