DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
11-14 | Road
61
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
8-19 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
TIGERS
0%
BIG GREEN
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Princeton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)
DART By 1-7 points
24.3%
DART By 8-14 points
13.7%
PRIN By 1-7 points
26.2%
PRIN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
72
DARTMOUTH
Princeton
73
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
60
DARTMOUTH
Princeton
72
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DART @ PRIN
61 - 82
Jan 19, 2026
PRIN @ DART
69 - 71
Feb 22, 2025
DART @ PRIN
76 - 61
Jan 18, 2025
PRIN @ DART
81 - 80
Feb 24, 2024
PRIN @ DART
68 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Princeton: 46.1%
vs
Dartmouth: 42.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Princeton: 78.7%
vs
Dartmouth: 75.6%
Blocks (L5)
+45.0% more
Dartmouth: 3.3
vs
Princeton: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+17.9% more
Dartmouth: 5.2
vs
Princeton: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
72.0
61
PRIN Score
73.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 34.7
61.0 / 23.0
Assists
12.1 / 13.0
17.0 / 4.0
Blocks
1.8 / 3.3
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 42.9
52.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 75.6
83.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
29.2 / 31.7
38.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.2
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.3
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
DART
PRIN
DART
ML
45%
13-16
62%
16-10
62%
18-11
50%
13-13
ATS
48%
14-15
65%
17-9
62%
18-11
50%
13-13
TTL
72%
21-8
88%
23-3
100%
29-0
100%
26-0
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Miami's Bye Week Blueprint: Top Games to Scout for Week 6
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…