LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
15-15 | Road
59
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
13-17 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
CHARGERS
100%
DOLPHINS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Le Moyne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEM -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
LEM By 1-7 points
27.2%
LEM By 8-14 points
23.0%
NHVN By 1-7 points
18.6%
NHVN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
73
LE MOYNE
New Haven
68
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
72
LE MOYNE
New Haven
75
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.0
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u136.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
LEM @ NHVN
59 - 66
Jan 8, 2026
NHVN @ LEM
47 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+40.1% more
Le Moyne: 12.6
vs
New Haven: 7.5
Assists (L5)
+32.7% more
Le Moyne: 14.2
vs
New Haven: 9.6
Rebounding (L5)
+18.1% more
Le Moyne: 34.4
vs
New Haven: 28.1
Steals (L5)
+9.4% more
Le Moyne: 5.7
vs
New Haven: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
73.0
59
NHVN Score
68.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 34.3
29.0 / 18.0
Assists
9.6 / 14.2
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.0
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 50.2
40.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 71.0
79.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
28.1 / 34.4
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.7
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
7.5 / 12.6
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
NHVN
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
LEM
NHVN
LEM
ML
71%
22-9
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
ATS
74%
23-8
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
TTL
42%
13-18
42%
13-18
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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